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June 2009 - Ohio Citizen Action (OCA) has been
aggressively opposing the American
Municipal Power Generating Station (AMPGS) project for
the past few years. The organization is once again contacting
Councils and municipal management in participating communities
including Piqua, raising questions about the proposed project.
Based on information distributed in member communities and
posted on the OCA Web site, AMP-Ohio
is able to anticipate some of the issues that will be raised to
Councils by OCA representatives and is providing some accurate
information related to these issues.
What is Ohio
Citizen Action?
The organization has been in
existence since 1975. They describe themselves as providing
"door-to-door democracy." The grassroots organization,
largely made up of volunteers, uses a variety of avenues to draw
attention to the issues they choose to take on. A perusal of the
OCA Web site would show that the organization has a variety of
campaigns currently underway opposing projects, companies or
issues.
Like most activist groups, OCA is
dependent upon voluntary donations to the organization. It would
appear that they use the various issues of which they oppose as
motivators for their fundraising efforts. We know that as OCA
volunteers have been going door-to-door in AMPGS participating
and other communities, they have in many cases been asking for
donations of varying dollar amounts.
Anticipated Issues
"Participating
communities locked into a 50-year contract"
AMP-Ohio has executed valid
contracts with 81 member communities to purchase power from the
facility for a 50 year time frame. These contracts are necessary
on a project of this size and scope and support the affordable
financing of the project. There are several things to keep in
mind:
The contracts assure that
participating communities have access to reliable power at
predictable costs well into the future.
None of the participating communities are getting 100 percent of
their base load power from this project. This means that there
is still room in portfolios for additional renewable generation
and/or energy efficiency programs.
The feasibility studies completed for this project, the results
of which have been examined by numerous consulting firms with
specific industry expertise, have shown that the cost of power
coming from the plant will be at below market rates through the
life of the plant.
AMPGS is a state-of-the-art project with carbon capture and
sequestration potential when it becomes technologically and
economically feasible.
Communities have signed
take-or-pay contracts"
All 81 participating communities
executed take-or-pay contracts for this project. This mechanism
is not an AMP-Ohio creation, but a standard contractual
mechanism for these types of projects. These contracts allow
AMP-Ohio to secure the most affordable financing for the
project. In essence, the contract mechanism makes the AMPGS
project similar to any significant building project that a
municipality might take on. For example, if a community builds a
new water treatment plant, they assume the risk that the project
will proceed as expected and will operate as intended - it's an
owned asset. In this case the risks involved in building a
large, reliable generation source are shared amongst all of the
participants - communities will own a proportional share of the
project through AMP-Ohio.
AMP-Ohio has used take-or-pay
contracts with existing projects, including the Belleville
Hydroelectric Plant, which has been operating for 10 years at
below anticipated costs, and the AMP-Ohio Wind Farm. Other
projects currently under development by AMP-Ohio, the Prairie
State Energy Campus and the hydroelectric projects, are also
being developed under take-or-pay contracts.
"Projected project cost
has escalated"
This is a continuing theme with
OCA. Here are the facts. When the AMPGS project was announced in
Meigs County in October 2005, the estimate of $1.2 billion was
used. This was an "off the shelf" estimate provided by
Sargent and Lundy, the consulting firm that performed the
original feasibility study. The estimate was generic for a plant
of this type and size and did not include information specific
to the AMPGS project, nor did it include all of the elements of
the project (i.e. transmission line and interconnection costs).
Cost projections have been updated based specifically on the
AMPGS project and on indicative pricing received from Bechtel
Power, the engineer-procure-construct (EPC) contractor.
The latest estimate for the
project is $3.074 billion, which is a decrease from the estimate
provided to participants in October 2008 of $3.25 billion. This
figure includes the cost of utilizing Powerspan's ECO SO2
scrubbing system and contingency and cost escalation funds to
further protect project participants. Feasibility studies have
demonstrated that power from the plant will be below the cost of
market power. It should be noted that we are seeing a
significant softening of the commodities market related to steel
and other construction raw materials. This market softening is
related to the current economic downturn. We have already seen a
positive impact on AMP-Ohio's hydroelectric project from the
market condition. The commodities market softening is not
reflected in the latest cost estimate, which was revised
downward from October.
"Financing costs"
AMP-Ohio has positioned itself
well in terms of the AMPGS project. Our commercial paper program
and line-of-credit give us the ability to wait for the optimum
time to go to the bond market for permanent financing. We're not
being forced into the market prematurely. Despite the downturn
in the economy, AMP-Ohio issued $1 billion in project financing
in 2008, including issuing $760 million in bonds for the Prairie
State coal generation project issued at below anticipated rates.
At the time of that Prairie State initial bond sale, Ohio
Citizen Action was claiming that no one would finance or invest
in coal projects. Earlier this year AMP-Ohio issued $350 million
in bond anticipation notes as interim financing for the
hydroelectric projects, these too carried a very affordable
interest rate.
"There have been schedule
delays"
AMP-Ohio staff and consultants
have taken the time to perform due diligence on this project,
particularly in terms of the use of Powerspan technology. A
great deal of examination was done to confirm the viability of
this technology for the AMPGS project. Additionally, there is a
tremendous world market impact on steam turbine manufacturers
who are currently overwhelmed by power plant development in
other countries, this has led to a six month extension on the
original project schedule, meaning both units are scheduled to
begin operation in 2014. This is a conservative schedule.
"There are
alternatives"
There are indeed alternatives,
however, the groups opposing the AMPGS project have not provided
much detail about the alternatives they keep saying exist. What
opposition groups don't seem to understand about AMP-Ohio is
that we are truly partners with our member communities. The
organization is owned by its members and the members control the
organization through the 16 member Board of Trustees. The
organization's principal mission is to secure affordable,
reliable wholesale power for our members. Obviously, we've
examined the alternatives to the AMPGS project and conducted
significant due diligence.
Build renewable generation
resources. AMP-Ohio and our members are leaders in the region in
terms of the deployment of renewable resources. We understand
the benefits of these projects - and the limitations.
Simultaneously with the AMPGS project, AMP-Ohio and our members
are embarking on the largest deployment of run-of-the-river
hydroelectric generation in the nation. In fact, construction
started at the first of these projects, located at the Cannelton
Locks and Dam on the Ohio River on May 15. In total, our planned
effort at six sites will add more than 380 MW of renewable
hydroelectric generation to the region. We are also exploring
opportunities for new wind and solar generation projects. In
this part of the country, hydroelectric generation has a
capacity factor of about 65 percent, wind 25 percent, and solar
10 percent. While these resources are important components of a
balanced generation portfolio, they cannot be relied upon by
themselves for base load power.
Purchase power agreements. AMP-Ohio members have relied
primarily on market purchases to meet their power supply needs
for the last 35 years. This strategy worked well in the past,
but dramatic changes in the industry have left member
communities overexposed to an increasingly volatile wholesale
market. Currently, 62 percent of members' base load and 90
percent of intermediate power needs come from the market, giving
communities very little ability to control power costs.
Long-term, fixed-rate purchase power agreements are indeed rare
and not attractively priced, if available at all. AMP-Ohio knows
this because we have been negotiating power supply contracts for
over 30 years.
Energy efficiency is also an important component of a power
supply strategy. AMP-Ohio is working to launch a major expansion
of our energy efficiency program with the goal of becoming a
national leader in energy efficiency. However, experts agree
that you can expect 1-1.5 percent annual reduction in load
through aggressive energy efficiency programs. This will
mitigate future load growth, but will not reduce current over
exposure to the wholesale market.
Do nothing. As noted above, members are overexposed to the
market giving communities little ability to control power costs.
Also it should be noted that the vast majority of the market
power purchased by member communities comes from older, dirtier
coal-fired power plants.
"Emissions from the AMPGS
plant"
The AMPGS facility, complete with
state-of-the-art, proven emission control technology, which
includes the use of Powerspan, will be the cleanest coal-fired
generation facility in the region and one of the cleanest of its
type in the nation. The use of Powerspan, which was included as
a condition to the Certificate of Environmental Compatibility
and Public Need issued for the project by the Ohio Power Siting
Board, not only provides best available control technology for
the plant, but also positions us well for possible carbon
capture in the future. A commercial pilot of Powerspan's carbon
capture technology is currently underway at the R.E. Burger
Plant in Shadyside, Ohio. Data from the pilot is being collected
and shared with AMP-Ohio. As noted before, participation in the
AMPGS project will actually reduce the overall emissions
footprint of participating member communities who are currently
purchasing the bulk of their base load power on the market from
older, dirtier plants.
"Permits for the plant
are being appealed by environmental groups"
The air and National Pollutant
Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permits have been appealed
by a consortium of environmental groups, but Ohio law allows us
to continue development through the appeals process. The hearing
on the air permit is scheduled to begin in August before the
Ohio Environmental Review Appeals Commission; and the hearing on
the NPDES permit is scheduled to begin in January 2010. AMP-Ohio
anticipated these appeals and has prepared accordingly.
"AMP-Ohio is seeking
state incentives and say Ohio is competing with West
Virginia"
When the list of potential sites
for the AMPGS project was narrowed down to the final four, one
of the potential sites was in West Virginia. Obviously, AMP-Ohio
is now committed to Meigs County for the build option. However,
there remain other options for partnering in other generation
projects under development in other states, including West
Virginia. While at this time, that has not been identified as
the preferred option, it remains under investigation.
The AMPGS project represents a
significant investment in the state of Ohio. It is wholly
appropriate for AMP-Ohio to seek state incentives in support of
that investment.
"The air permit for the
facility is being modified and is subject to another public
hearing"
The Ohio EPA recently issued a
draft clarification through administrative modification to the
air permit-to-install (PTI) for the AMPGS project. The action
stems from a federal court decision last year, which vacated the
federal clean air mercury rule after the final air permit was
issued for AMPGS. AMP-Ohio notified participants in the AMPGS
project last July that the Ohio EPA had asked for additional
information related to control of mercury and other hazardous
air pollutants (HAPs). The update was not unexpected. The PTI
issued by Ohio EPA in February 2008 contained a specific limit
on mercury emissions - limitations that are more stringent than
what was contained in the federal clean air mercury law, and
among the most stringent in the nation. The draft administrative
modification sets the case-by-case maximum achievable control
technology (MACT) for mercury consistent with the emission limit
already established in the AMPGS PTI. The draft administrative
modification did lower emissions limits for two other
pollutants, hydrogen fluoride and hydrogen chloride. AMP-Ohio
does not anticipate these lowered emission limits having an
operational impact on the proposed facility. The draft
administrative modification confirms that all other HAPs
limitations contained in the PTI represent MACT standards. A
hearing on the draft took place in Meigs County on June 2nd.
"Mountaintop mining"
OCA has made mountaintop mining a
major campaign for its organization. No decisions as to the
specific sources of coal for the AMPGS project have been made
and no contracts have been signed. The AMPGS Participants
Committee will make decisions regarding fuel sources.
"Coal ash ponds"
The OCA has placed stories
regarding last year's event at a coal ash pond in Tennessee on
their Web site in a section called "More on AMP-Ohio
Proposed Coal Plant." The AMPGS facility will NOT utilize a
coal ash pond. Ash waste will be processed dry and taken
directly to the on-site landfill.
"AMP-Ohio has received a
notice of violation (NOV) from the U.S. EPA on the Richard H.
Gorsuch Station"
This quickly became a significant
target for OCA and gave them another excuse to criticize the
organization. AMP-Ohio recently received a Notice of Finding of
Violation from the U.S. EPA with regard to the Richard H.
Gorsuch Generating Station (RHGS). The facility has been and
remains in compliance with all limitations contained in our
operating permits. The investigation by the USEPA is related to
modifications completed at the facility, some of which go back
to 1981, pre-dating our ownership. The notice was addressed to
both AMP-Ohio and the station's former owner, and later our
co-owner, Elkem Metals. Specifically, the NOV cites work
performed at the facility in the 1981-1986 timeframe (prior to
AMP-Ohio ownership) and projects performed in the 1988-1991
timeframe. A primary part of the later projects was performed to
decouple the electric generation from the process steam
production at the plant.
It is important to note that the
Gorsuch Station is in compliance with its operating permits.
AMP-Ohio has responsibly operated the Gorsuch facility since
taking ownership and we have made a number of improvements at
the facility that have actually reduced emissions.
"There is a great deal of
legislative/regulatory uncertainty"
This is true. We are most likely
going to see climate change legislation and other pushes to
limit greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide. Nobody has a
crystal ball. We do know that whatever is passed at the federal
level will affect the industry as a whole, not just our project.
AMP-Ohio and OMEA are fully engaged in this issue and are
working with like-minded entities across the country on workable
solutions. Our choice of Powerspan technology has well
positioned us for a future carbon-constrained industry in terms
of the AMPGS project. The footprint of the facility and the
placement of equipment and other engineering aspects of AMPGS
will facilitate future carbon capture. The feasibility study and
subsequent updates have factored the cost of future carbon
regulation into the financial modeling.
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